Game Result Predictions
Saturday, September 29
Saturday, September 29
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Falcon Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Nevada (8-5) | 28 | 25 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 34 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | |
| Air Force (5-7) | 25 | 31 | -6.0 | 70% | 23 | +11.0 | 18% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bryant-Denny Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +36.0 | 0% | ✔ | 0 | +74.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Alabama (14-1) | 56 | 54 | -36.0 | 100% | 74 | -74.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kidd Brewer Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| South Alabama (3-9) | 7 | 10 | +38.0 | 0% | ✔ | 3 | +53.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Appalachian State (11-2) | 52 | 48 | -38.0 | 100% | 56 | -53.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Arizona Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| USC (5-7) | 24 | 28 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | 33 | -8.5 | 77% | ✔ | |
| Arizona (5-7) | 20 | 31 | -3.0 | 61% | 25 | +8.5 | 23% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Sun Devil Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Oregon State (2-10) | 24 | 23 | +26.0 | 3% | ✔ | 21 | +31.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Arizona State (7-6) | 52 | 49 | -26.0 | 97% | 52 | -31.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Jordan-Hare Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Southern Miss (6-5) | 13 | 15 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 3 | +34.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Auburn (8-5) | 24 | 27 | -12.0 | 84% | 37 | -34.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Scheumann Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Kent State (2-10) | 24 | 25 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 23 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Ball State (4-8) | 52 | 33 | -8.0 | 76% | 35 | -12.0 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Alumni Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Temple (8-5) | 35 | 27 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 26 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | |
| Boston College (7-5) | 45 | 31 | -4.0 | 64% | 32 | -6.0 | 70% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| UB Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Army (11-2) | 42 | 29 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 38 | -22.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Buffalo (10-4) | 13 | 25 | +4.0 | 36% | 16 | +22.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Oregon (9-4) | 42 | 24 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 34 | -24.0 | 97% | ✔ | |
| California (7-6) | 24 | 21 | +3.0 | 39% | 10 | +24.0 | 3% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Syracuse (10-3) | 23 | 20 | +24.0 | 4% | ✔ | 11 | +43.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Clemson (15-0) | 27 | 44 | -24.0 | 96% | 54 | -43.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Cincinnati (11-2) | 49 | 51 | -40.0 | 100% | ✔ | 55 | -52.0 | 100% | ✔ | |
| Connecticut (1-11) | 7 | 11 | +40.0 | 0% | 3 | +52.0 | 0% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Wallace Wade Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Virginia Tech (6-7) | 31 | 27 | +8.0 | 24% | ✘ | 30 | +3.0 | 39% | ✘ | |
| Duke (8-5) | 14 | 35 | -8.0 | 76% | 33 | -3.0 | 61% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Old Dominion (4-8) | 35 | 33 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 32 | +0.5 | 47% | ✔ | |
| East Carolina (3-9) | 37 | 32 | +1.0 | 46% | 32 | -0.5 | 53% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Rynearson Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Northern Illinois (8-6) | 26 | 13 | +10.0 | 20% | ✘ | 19 | -2.5 | 60% | ✔ | |
| Eastern Michigan (7-6) | 23 | 23 | -10.0 | 80% | 17 | +2.5 | 40% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| FIU Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas-Pine Bluff (1-8) | 9 | 18 | +34.0 | 0% | ✔ | 3 | +63.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| FIU (9-4) | 55 | 52 | -34.0 | 100% | 67 | -63.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bulldog Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Toledo (7-6) | 27 | 23 | +15.0 | 11% | ✔ | 14 | +31.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Fresno State (12-2) | 49 | 38 | -15.0 | 89% | 46 | -31.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Sanford Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Tennessee (5-7) | 12 | 12 | +27.0 | 2% | ✔ | 3 | +42.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Georgia (11-3) | 38 | 39 | -27.0 | 98% | 45 | -42.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Allen E. Paulson Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas State (8-5) | 21 | 21 | +7.0 | 27% | ✔ | 21 | +6.5 | 28% | ✔ | |
| Georgia Southern (10-3) | 28 | 28 | -7.0 | 73% | 27 | -6.5 | 72% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Georgia State Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| ULM (6-6) | 14 | 31 | -1.0 | 54% | ✘ | 40 | -20.0 | 94% | ✘ | |
| Georgia State (2-10) | 46 | 30 | +1.0 | 46% | 20 | +20.0 | 6% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bobby Dodd Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Bowling Green (3-9) | 17 | 22 | +24.0 | 4% | ✔ | 17 | +34.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Georgia Tech (7-6) | 63 | 46 | -24.0 | 96% | 51 | -34.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Oklahoma State (7-6) | 48 | 37 | -8.0 | 76% | ✔ | 51 | -35.0 | 99% | ✔ | |
| Kansas (3-9) | 28 | 29 | +8.0 | 24% | 16 | +35.0 | 1% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Bill Snyder Family Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Texas (10-4) | 19 | 25 | -5.0 | 67% | ✔ | 37 | -29.0 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Kansas State (5-7) | 14 | 20 | +5.0 | 33% | 8 | +29.0 | 2% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Kroger Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| South Carolina (7-6) | 10 | 18 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 17 | +10.5 | 18% | ✔ | |
| Kentucky (10-3) | 24 | 27 | -9.0 | 78% | 27 | -10.5 | 82% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Cardinal Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Florida State (5-7) | 28 | 34 | -10.0 | 80% | ✔ | 42 | -26.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Louisville (2-10) | 24 | 24 | +10.0 | 20% | 16 | +26.5 | 2% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Tiger Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ole Miss (5-7) | 16 | 24 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | 9 | +47.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| LSU (10-3) | 45 | 42 | -18.0 | 92% | 57 | -47.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Yager Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Western Michigan (7-6) | 40 | 27 | +10.0 | 20% | ✘ | 27 | +10.5 | 19% | ✘ | |
| Miami (OH) (6-6) | 39 | 37 | -10.0 | 80% | 37 | -10.5 | 81% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spartan Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Central Michigan (1-11) | 20 | 0 | +21.0 | 5% | ✔ | 0 | +59.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Michigan State (7-6) | 31 | 21 | -21.0 | 95% | 60 | -59.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Floyd Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| FAU (5-7) | 24 | 27 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | 27 | +6.0 | 29% | ✔ | |
| Middle Tennessee (8-6) | 25 | 33 | -6.0 | 70% | 33 | -6.0 | 71% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Davis Wade Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Florida (10-3) | 13 | 18 | +6.0 | 30% | ✘ | 26 | -10.0 | 81% | ✔ | |
| Mississippi State (8-5) | 6 | 24 | -6.0 | 70% | 16 | +10.0 | 19% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Purdue (6-7) | 42 | 32 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 39 | -12.5 | 85% | ✔ | |
| Nebraska (4-8) | 28 | 34 | -2.0 | 58% | 27 | +12.5 | 15% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Dreamstyle Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Liberty (6-6) | 52 | 37 | -1.0 | 54% | ✔ | 44 | -16.0 | 90% | ✔ | |
| New Mexico (3-9) | 43 | 36 | +1.0 | 46% | 28 | +16.0 | 10% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Carter-Finley Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Virginia (8-5) | 21 | 21 | +6.0 | 30% | ✔ | 17 | +13.5 | 13% | ✔ | |
| North Carolina State (9-4) | 35 | 27 | -6.0 | 70% | 31 | -13.5 | 87% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Apogee Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Louisiana Tech (8-5) | 29 | 19 | +12.0 | 16% | ✘ | 23 | +4.5 | 34% | ✘ | |
| North Texas (9-4) | 27 | 31 | -12.0 | 84% | 27 | -4.5 | 66% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Ryan Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Michigan (10-3) | 20 | 29 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 25 | -3.5 | 63% | ✔ | |
| Northwestern (9-5) | 17 | 18 | +11.0 | 18% | 21 | +3.5 | 37% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Notre Dame Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Stanford (9-4) | 17 | 16 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 11 | +22.5 | 4% | ✔ | |
| Notre Dame (12-1) | 38 | 28 | -12.0 | 84% | 33 | -22.5 | 96% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Peden Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| UMass (4-8) | 42 | 27 | +28.0 | 2% | ✔ | 28 | +26.5 | 2% | ✔ | |
| Ohio (9-4) | 58 | 55 | -28.0 | 98% | 54 | -26.5 | 98% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Baylor (7-6) | 33 | 31 | +22.0 | 5% | ✔ | 18 | +48.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Oklahoma (12-2) | 66 | 53 | -22.0 | 95% | 66 | -48.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Beaver Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Ohio State (13-1) | 27 | 33 | +2.0 | 42% | ✘ | 46 | -23.5 | 96% | ✔ | |
| Penn State (9-4) | 26 | 35 | -2.0 | 58% | 22 | +23.5 | 4% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| HighPoint.com Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Indiana (5-7) | 24 | 29 | -12.0 | 84% | ✔ | 32 | -18.5 | 93% | ✔ | |
| Rutgers (1-11) | 17 | 17 | +12.0 | 16% | 14 | +18.5 | 7% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| CEFCU Stadium - Home of the Spartans | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Hawaii (8-6) | 44 | 35 | -4.0 | 64% | ✔ | 46 | -25.0 | 97% | ✔ | |
| San Jose State (1-11) | 41 | 31 | +4.0 | 36% | 21 | +25.0 | 3% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Gerald J. Ford Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Houston Baptist (0-10) | 27 | 29 | +19.0 | 7% | ✔ | 12 | +53.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| SMU (5-7) | 63 | 48 | -19.0 | 93% | 65 | -53.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Amon G. Carter Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Iowa State (8-5) | 14 | 18 | +1.0 | 46% | ✔ | 16 | +5.0 | 32% | ✔ | |
| TCU (7-6) | 17 | 19 | -1.0 | 54% | 21 | -5.0 | 68% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| AT&T Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Arkansas (2-10) | 17 | 17 | +25.0 | 3% | ✔ | 0 | +57.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Texas A&M (9-4) | 24 | 42 | -25.0 | 97% | 58 | -57.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Jones AT&T Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| West Virginia (8-4) | 42 | 39 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 52 | -29.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Texas Tech (5-7) | 34 | 36 | +3.0 | 39% | 22 | +29.5 | 2% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Veterans Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Coastal Carolina (5-7) | 21 | 18 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | 7 | +40.0 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Troy (10-3) | 45 | 36 | -18.0 | 92% | 47 | -40.0 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Legion Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Charlotte (5-7) | 7 | 11 | +19.0 | 7% | ✔ | 3 | +32.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| UAB (11-3) | 28 | 30 | -19.0 | 93% | 35 | -32.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Spectrum Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Pittsburgh (7-7) | 14 | 18 | +23.0 | 4% | ✔ | 11 | +35.5 | 1% | ✔ | |
| UCF (12-1) | 45 | 41 | -23.0 | 96% | 47 | -35.5 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Alamodome | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| UTEP (1-11) | 21 | 19 | +4.0 | 36% | ✔ | 12 | +18.0 | 8% | ✔ | |
| UTSA (3-9) | 30 | 23 | -4.0 | 64% | 30 | -18.0 | 92% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Vanderbilt Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Tennessee State (4-5) | 27 | 21 | +12.0 | 16% | ✔ | 17 | +19.5 | 6% | ✔ | |
| Vanderbilt (6-7) | 31 | 33 | -12.0 | 84% | 37 | -19.5 | 94% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| BB&T Field | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Rice (2-11) | 24 | 20 | +22.0 | 5% | ✔ | 7 | +48.5 | 0% | ✔ | |
| Wake Forest (7-6) | 56 | 42 | -22.0 | 95% | 55 | -48.5 | 100% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Husky Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| BYU (7-6) | 7 | 13 | +9.0 | 22% | ✔ | 0 | +36.0 | 1% | ✔ | |
| Washington (10-4) | 35 | 22 | -9.0 | 78% | 36 | -36.0 | 99% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| Martin Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Utah (9-5) | 24 | 23 | +8.0 | 24% | ✔ | 21 | +11.5 | 16% | ✔ | |
| Washington State (11-2) | 28 | 31 | -8.0 | 76% | 33 | -11.5 | 84% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| L.T. Smith Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Marshall (9-4) | 20 | 26 | -10.0 | 80% | ✔ | 33 | -24.5 | 97% | ✔ | |
| Western Kentucky (3-9) | 17 | 16 | +10.0 | 20% | 9 | +24.5 | 3% | |||
| Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
| War Memorial Stadium | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | ||||
| Boise State (10-3) | 34 | 26 | -11.0 | 82% | ✔ | 34 | -27.5 | 98% | ✔ | |
| Wyoming (6-6) | 14 | 15 | +11.0 | 18% | 6 | +27.5 | 2% | |||
Saturday, September 29 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 93%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 80%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 93%
Overall Results (872 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 77%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 73%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 75%.